Royaume-Uni Confiance Des Consommateurs

The GfK Consumer Confidence Index in the United Kingdom dropped by 5 points to -22 in January 2025, marking its lowest level since November 2023. This decline signals growing concerns over an economic slowdown. January's figure also significantly missed forecasts of -18, and reflected the sharpest monthly drop between December and January since 2011. All five components of the survey saw a decrease, driven by softening economic expectations. In addition, a rise in GfK’s savings index—although not part of the overall consumer confidence index—pointed to increased caution among households. The drop in confidence also highlights the impact of the government’s decision to raise taxes on businesses to fund investment and public services. This weakened sentiment supports a dovish outlook for the Bank of England, with market expectations now leaning toward an interest rate cut in February.